Is there a brief hot spell next weekend or a hiccup in...

Is there a brief hot spell next weekend or a hiccup in the model ?

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On the 14th June I published the outlook from the GEFS and I talked about a rise in temperatures from this last weeks temperatures we have had, The GEFS is now showing a brief spell of hot temperatures maybe reaching 27 c. during next weekend.

This GEFS graph shows the temperature at 5,000 feet and the bottom of the graph is rainfall.

So we can see a rise in temperatures from now into next week, but  next weekend shows a very sharp rise in temperatures. So is this a hiccup in the model or is it what we can expect.

Note this is on my webpage section WHAT  I ‘M WATCHING This is something I will be watching carefully to see if this does develop or collapses away, its not a forecast it is meant to be a insight into what I am watching. It is just one of many things I watch unfold before I release my forecasts.

gefsens850birmingham0 17th