This is the latest outlook for the next four weeks from the Japanese Met Agency the JMA. It is not meant to be a forecast but a general outlook. I have added the 3 images together and rotated them and added a red line so you can see the UK. Blue colours are low pressure area’s and oranges high pressure area’s.
Week 1, 14th February to 20th.
Deep low pressure in the mid Atlantic and High pressure over the UK stretches eastwards over Europe. This period will see temperatures 3 to 4 degrees above average with mainly dry conditions. Scotland looks to be the only area with above average rainfall.
Week 2, 21st February to 27th.
The deep low pressure system remains in the mid Atlantic still and the high pressure remains in the same place but extends South Westwards over Spain and on towards the Azores. The temperature looks like remaining 3 to 4 degrees above average but we will start to see some rain in the form of showers. I think these showers will be because we will start to see the winds coming up from a South westerly direction.
Week 3-4 28th February to 13th March.
A change will start to take place with the low pressure moving closer to the UK eventually over the western parts of the UK. The high pressure has shrunk in size and the centre of the high pressure will be over of Europe. Temperature will still be above average around 1-2 degrees above average for early March, possibly a little cooler than the previous couple of weeks. Rainfall again looks slightly above average but I really expect the rain to be more in the way of showers than prolonged spells of rain.