Wednesday, February 21, 2018

What I'm Watching

What I'm Watching

Update on the wintry weather that is on its way.

Way back on the 2nd of February I wrote about the possibility of the Polar Vortex being affected by a SSW Sudden Stratospheric Warming. If you check back I said if this happens we could see the return of winter the end of February early March. Well we know that the SSW did happen and we have also seen...

Be prepared for the coming spell of wintry conditions.

I have some advice for you that you should start to be prepared for the return of some very cold weather the end of this week. Each run of the model gives a slightly different scenario with the temperature and risk of snowfall. This is due to the SSW that happened, the models cannot decide where the high pressure...

GEFS is trending for very cold next weekend and into the week after.

This GEFS graph is showing some very cold temperatures are on the way with possible snow right at the end of the month and the first few days of March. Top part of the graph shows the temperature at 850 hpa, 1,500 metres, the bottom of the graph is precipitation. Temperatures around -5c give an indication that any precipitation could...

Update on the Polar Vortex and the SSW and our weather outlook.

Followers will know that I have been talking about the Polar Vortex and the SSW Sudden Stratospheric Warming and the effect it could possibly have on our weather now for several weeks. You will know that I have said it could lead to wintry weather the end of February early March. We now know we have had a major SSW...

Quick update of the Polar Vortex and the SSW.

This is just a quick update on the Polar Vortex. The SSW has taken place and we have a wind reversal. It is now a waiting game to see if a blocking takes place and we get some cold weather from the east. Possibly by the weekend, or early next week we may have some indication that colder weather could...

High pressure looks like it will start to build bringing settled weather.

It looks like high pressure will slowly start to build during Thursday into Friday bringing a settled end to the week and the weekend. Come early next week a high pressure ridge will firmly be in control and this looks like the fine weather could well last towards the end of next week. The outlook from this high pressure will...

Update on the Vortex and the SSW

So what's happened.  Followers will know that over the last couple of weeks I have been talking about the possibility of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming of the Vortex taking place. I can now say as of today the Vortex has split, cold air above the Polar region now has a large warm section though the middle of it with two cold...

SSW looks like it will happen this weekend, what will the outcome be ?

Here is my update on the SSW the Sudden Stratospheric Warming. It looks like it will be happening this weekend,splitting the Vortex and it looks like we will also get a wind reversal too. The image shows the Vortex splitting with two lobes around -75c and the centre very warm at -20 c. I have stated over the last 10...

Update on next week’s wintry weather outlook.

The wintry outlook for next week is still with us. I still need another 24 to 48 hours to pin it down, but this is what I see at the momentL Sunday, A cold day, low risk of a wintry light shower, 4 c. Overnight temperatures falling to - 3. Monday, a dry cold day, 3 c. Overnight falling to -2 c. Tuesday, a cold...

Vortex showing signs it will be warming quickly.

Back on the 10th January I wrote about the Polar Vortex looking like it was warming, then a week later I wrote in an update saying the warming had stopped, but there was a chance it could restart again at a future date. Well a warming is now underway again and this time the models are forecasting a very rapid...